Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:00 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.86) 1.73 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 23.0% 62.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 2
14.0%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 9.4% 16.2% 14.0% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNürnbergSC Freiburg W
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack40%87%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nürnberg SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%100%33%67%
Draws33%67%50%0%33%17%
Loses67%0%33%0%33%17%

Form: Nürnberg: DLLDDW • SC Freiburg W: DWWLWW

League goals

Metric Nürnberg SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
GF total25710414
GF avg0.71.71.23.31.32.3
GA total6410459
GA avg2.01.31.71.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNürnbergSC Freiburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%83%67%
1.517%33%50%50%
2.517%17%50%17%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNürnbergSC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricNürnbergSC Freiburg W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNürnbergSC Freiburg W
Wins02
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-36-20-3
Biggest losses1-44-0
Goals For1363
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricNürnbergSC Freiburg W
Form29%71%
Att32%68%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Winner : SC Freiburg W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.56 @ 1xBet
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nürnberg = 0.64 (league 1.86), SC Freiburg W = 1.73 (league 1.50)

SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 9.4% 16.2% 14.0% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 62.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1