Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.46 (league 1.85) 1.25 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 7.0% 4.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.1%
5 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack67%29%
Defense48%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins100%25%57%33%25%29%
Draws0%25%14%0%25%14%
Loses0%50%29%67%50%57%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWL • RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
GF total10616268
GF avg3.31.52.30.71.51.1
GA total481251015
GA avg1.32.01.71.72.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%57%86%
1.557%57%43%43%
2.543%29%14%43%
3.514%14%0%29%
4.514%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-32-10-2
Biggest losses—4-00-35-0
Goals For6323
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg WRB Leipzig W
Form69%31%
Att70%30%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 4.46 (league 1.85), RB Leipzig W = 1.25 (league 1.56)

RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1