Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 17:30 • Franz-Kremer Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.82) 1.93 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 21.6% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Koln W 0 5.7% 11.1% 10.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Koln WNürnberg
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack38%38%
Defense48%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Koln W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%25%33%29%
Draws25%0%14%25%67%43%
Loses50%67%57%50%0%29%

Form: FC Koln W: LLLWWDL • Nürnberg: DLLDDWW

League goals

Metric FC Koln W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total5385510
GF avg1.31.01.11.31.71.4
GA total77148412
GA avg1.82.32.02.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Koln WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%86%100%
1.543%57%29%43%
2.50%14%29%14%
3.50%14%0%14%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Koln WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricFC Koln WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC Koln WNürnberg
Wins20
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-22-3
Biggest losses0-25-11-4
Goals For2233
Goals Against2542

Model comparison

MetricFC Koln WNürnberg
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nürnberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away6.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Koln W = 0.93 (league 1.82), Nürnberg = 1.93 (league 1.58)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Koln W 0 5.7% 11.1% 10.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1