Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 17:00 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.83) 3.83 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.2% 4.4% 75.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.3%
0 - 4
13.6%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 1.5% 5.8% 11.2% 14.3% 13.6% 10.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 3.7%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNürnbergBayern Munich W
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack33%83%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.620 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nürnberg Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
Played448628
Wins25%25%25%83%100%88%
Draws25%50%38%17%0%13%
Loses50%25%38%0%0%0%

Form: Nürnberg: DLLDDWWL • Bayern Munich W: WWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Nürnberg Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
GF total551019625
GF avg1.31.31.33.23.03.1
GA total8715213
GA avg2.01.81.90.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNürnbergBayern Munich W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%88%38%
1.525%50%88%0%
2.525%25%75%0%
3.50%13%50%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNürnbergBayern Munich W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000415
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricNürnbergBayern Munich W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNürnbergBayern Munich W
Wins22
Draws21
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-35-10-3
Biggest losses1-43-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4311

Model comparison

MetricNürnbergBayern Munich W
Form35%65%
Att29%71%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total22.3%77.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern Munich W and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home56.00 @ Betfair
Draw18.00 @ 1xBet
Away1.06 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.25 @ Bet365
No1.42 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nürnberg = 0.36 (league 1.83), Bayern Munich W = 3.83 (league 1.57)

Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 1.5% 5.8% 11.2% 14.3% 13.6% 10.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 3.7%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.2% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 75.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1