Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 18:00 • Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.86) 1.38 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 20.6% 24.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack41%11%
Defense63%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%60%63%0%25%13%
Draws0%20%13%50%25%38%
Loses33%20%25%50%50%50%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLW • Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
GF total6915538
GF avg2.01.81.91.30.81.0
GA total861412820
GA avg2.71.21.83.02.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%63%75%
1.563%63%25%63%
2.525%13%13%50%
3.513%13%0%38%
4.50%13%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
Wins41
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-4—0-1
Biggest losses1-52-00-46-2
Goals For3432
Goals Against5246

Model comparison

MetricBayer Leverkusen WHamburger SV W
Form71%29%
Att79%21%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Bayer Leverkusen W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 10Bet
Draw6.16 @ Pinnacle
Away10.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen W = 2.16 (league 1.86), Hamburger SV W = 1.38 (league 1.56)

Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 24.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1