Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 17:00 • Dreisamstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.86) 2.31 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.8% 19.7% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.7% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
4 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack69%69%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%20%44%75%60%67%
Draws0%20%11%0%20%11%
Loses25%60%44%25%20%22%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLL • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total127198917
GF avg3.01.42.12.01.81.9
GA total810189615
GA avg2.02.02.02.31.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%89%78%
1.556%67%67%56%
2.533%33%22%11%
3.511%22%11%11%
4.511%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Wins24
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-33-22-4
Biggest losses2-44-01-52-0
Goals For6334
Goals Against4452

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total34.7%65.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Superbet
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 1.94 (league 1.86), Bayer Leverkusen W = 2.31 (league 1.56)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.7% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
4 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod4