Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.83) 2.50 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 18.0% 59.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV W 0 2.3% 5.7% 7.1% 5.9% 3.7% 1.9%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.4%
2 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SV WNürnberg
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack19%44%
Defense19%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%20%11%20%25%22%
Draws50%20%33%20%50%33%
Loses50%60%56%60%25%44%

Form: Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLL • Nürnberg: DLLDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total5495510
GF avg1.30.81.01.01.31.1
GA total12102214721
GA avg3.02.02.42.81.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SV WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%67%100%
1.522%67%22%56%
2.511%44%22%33%
3.50%33%0%22%
4.50%11%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SV WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricHamburger SV WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHamburger SV WNürnberg
Wins12
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-13-22-3
Biggest losses0-46-20-63-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against4663

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SV WNürnberg
Form13%88%
Att30%70%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total47.5%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nürnberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV W = 1.28 (league 1.83), Nürnberg = 2.50 (league 1.56)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV W 0 2.3% 5.7% 7.1% 5.9% 3.7% 1.9%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.4%
2 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 59.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1