Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.83) 0.82 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 20.9% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack58%25%
Defense0%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%0%20%10%
Draws20%0%10%40%20%30%
Loses40%80%60%60%60%60%

Form: Union Berlin W: DLWWLLWLLL • Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Union Berlin W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
GF total95146410
GF avg1.81.01.41.20.81.0
GA total81321141024
GA avg1.62.62.12.82.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%70%80%
1.540%60%20%70%
2.510%50%10%40%
3.510%20%0%30%
4.510%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-2—0-1
Biggest losses1-44-00-46-2
Goals For5232
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricUnion Berlin WHamburger SV W
Form75%25%
Att70%30%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals57%43%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Berlin W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin W = 1.96 (league 1.83), Hamburger SV W = 0.82 (league 1.56)

Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1