Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 • Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.83) 2.30 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 19.7% 42.6%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
7.1%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
1 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense31%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins60%50%55%40%33%36%
Draws0%17%9%0%17%9%
Loses40%33%36%60%50%55%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLL • RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
GF total8101851116
GF avg1.61.71.61.01.81.5
GA total1081881422
GA avg2.01.31.61.62.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%73%82%
1.555%55%45%55%
2.518%9%18%36%
3.59%9%9%18%
4.50%9%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-42-02-4
Biggest losses1-52-00-35-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against5235

Model comparison

MetricBayer Leverkusen WRB Leipzig W
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away5.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen W = 2.01 (league 1.83), RB Leipzig W = 2.30 (league 1.56)

RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
1 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 42.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1