Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion Essen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.86) 2.47 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 13.8% 76.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 3
12.7%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 5.0% 12.5% 15.4% 12.7% 7.8% 3.9%
1 2.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.0%
2 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGS Essen WNürnberg
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack33%53%
Defense40%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGS Essen W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins0%17%9%20%40%30%
Draws20%17%18%20%40%30%
Loses80%67%73%60%20%40%

Form: SGS Essen W: LDLLLLLLLDW • Nürnberg: DLLDDWWLLW

League goals

Metric SGS Essen W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total3475712
GF avg0.60.70.61.01.41.2
GA total14142814822
GA avg2.82.32.52.81.62.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGS Essen WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%70%100%
1.59%64%30%50%
2.50%36%20%30%
3.50%27%0%20%
4.50%18%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGS Essen WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricSGS Essen WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSGS Essen WNürnberg
Wins02
Draws12
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-13-22-3
Biggest losses0-85-00-63-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against8563

Model comparison

MetricSGS Essen WNürnberg
Form31%69%
Att38%62%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : SGS Essen W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away4.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SGS Essen W = 0.52 (league 1.86), Nürnberg = 2.47 (league 1.59)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 5.0% 12.5% 15.4% 12.7% 7.8% 3.9%
1 2.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.0%
2 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 76.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1