Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 17:30 • AOK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.86) 1.76 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 18.5% 25.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%63%
Defense56%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%83%73%83%20%55%
Draws0%17%9%0%20%9%
Loses40%0%18%17%60%36%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg W: DWWWWLWWWLW • SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWW

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
GF total12253717724
GF avg2.44.23.42.81.42.2
GA total1071791019
GA avg2.01.21.51.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%91%91%73%
1.591%36%64%55%
2.564%27%36%27%
3.536%0%9%18%
4.518%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-86-20-3
Biggest losses1-3—2-44-0
Goals For4863
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WSC Freiburg W
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total71.0%29.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : VfL Wolfsburg W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Unibet
Draw7.63 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg W = 2.58 (league 1.86), SC Freiburg W = 1.76 (league 1.59)

SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1