Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:00 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.82) 1.70 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 19.5% 26.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNürnbergUnion Berlin W
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack38%19%
Defense14%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nürnberg Union Berlin W
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%33%31%29%17%23%
Draws14%33%23%43%0%23%
Loses57%33%46%29%83%54%

Form: Nürnberg: DLLDDWWLLWLWL • Union Berlin W: DLWWLLWLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Nürnberg Union Berlin W
HATHAT
GF total1171812517
GF avg1.61.21.41.70.81.3
GA total231033111627
GA avg3.31.72.51.62.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNürnbergUnion Berlin W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%100%69%85%
1.531%62%38%62%
2.523%38%8%46%
3.58%23%8%15%
4.58%15%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNürnbergUnion Berlin W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricNürnbergUnion Berlin W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNürnbergUnion Berlin W
Wins22
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-35-01-2
Biggest losses0-63-01-44-0
Goals For5352
Goals Against6344

Model comparison

MetricNürnbergUnion Berlin W
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals17%83%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nürnberg or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nürnberg = 2.37 (league 1.82), Union Berlin W = 1.70 (league 1.55)

Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1