Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 17:00 • Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.86) 5.55 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 1.2% 50.6%
best score tips
0 - 5
11.6%
0 - 4
10.4%
0 - 3
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 0.3% 1.5% 4.1% 7.5% 10.4% 11.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack35%100%
Defense59%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.226 | 5.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins67%43%54%88%100%92%
Draws0%14%8%13%0%8%
Loses33%43%38%0%0%0%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLLWL • Bayern Munich W: WWDWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
GF total111021292251
GF avg1.81.41.63.64.43.9
GA total12921224
GA avg2.01.31.60.30.40.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%92%31%
1.554%54%92%0%
2.523%8%85%0%
3.58%8%69%0%
4.50%8%38%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022639
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
Wins42
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-46-00-6
Biggest losses1-52-0——
Goals For3466
Goals Against5211

Model comparison

MetricBayer Leverkusen WBayern Munich W
Form29%71%
Att19%81%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total17.6%82.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern Munich W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw7.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen W = 0.39 (league 1.86), Bayern Munich W = 5.55 (league 1.59)

Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 0 0.3% 1.5% 4.1% 7.5% 10.4% 11.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 50.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1