Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.86) 1.39 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 16.1% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack30%35%
Defense74%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W Werder Bremen W
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins71%17%46%71%50%62%
Draws14%17%15%29%0%15%
Loses14%67%38%0%50%23%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLD • Werder Bremen W: DWWLLWLWWWDWW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W Werder Bremen W
HATHAT
GF total17825121022
GF avg2.41.31.91.71.71.7
GA total9132241317
GA avg1.32.21.70.62.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%85%69%
1.554%54%54%31%
2.531%31%23%15%
3.58%15%8%15%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
Wins23
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-33-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-0—4-0
Goals For6334
Goals Against4414

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg WWerder Bremen W
Form35%65%
Att47%53%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : SC Freiburg W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.47 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 2.84 (league 1.86), Werder Bremen W = 1.39 (league 1.59)

Werder Bremen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1