Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.81) 1.76 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 23.5% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Koln W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 5.6% 9.8% 8.6% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.5% 6.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack35%30%
Defense52%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig W FC Koln W
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%43%33%38%
Draws0%14%8%14%33%23%
Loses67%57%62%43%33%38%

Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLL • FC Koln W: LLLWWDLWDWDWL

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig W FC Koln W
HATHAT
GF total713209918
GF avg1.21.91.51.31.51.4
GA total11172881018
GA avg1.82.42.21.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%77%85%
1.554%62%38%31%
2.515%46%15%8%
3.58%15%8%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-43-01-4
Biggest losses0-35-00-25-1
Goals For2434
Goals Against3525

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig WFC Koln W
Form27%73%
Att53%47%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Koln W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.13 (league 1.81), FC Koln W = 1.76 (league 1.54)

FC Koln W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 5.6% 9.8% 8.6% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.5% 6.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 51.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1