Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:30 • AOK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.86) 0.79 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 10.3% 5.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.0%
2 - 0
9.3%
4 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack78%17%
Defense70%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins67%86%77%0%14%8%
Draws0%14%8%33%29%31%
Loses33%0%15%67%57%62%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg W: DWWWWLWWWLWWW • Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W Hamburger SV W
HATHAT
GF total1531467512
GF avg2.54.43.51.20.70.9
GA total11819181735
GA avg1.81.11.53.02.42.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%92%69%85%
1.592%31%15%69%
2.569%23%8%46%
3.538%0%0%38%
4.523%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score000134

Penalties

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-8—0-1
Biggest losses1-3—0-46-0
Goals For4832
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W
Form92%8%
Att82%18%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : VfL Wolfsburg W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw23.59 @ Pinnacle
Away51.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.12 @ Bet365
Under 2.56.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg W = 3.23 (league 1.86), Hamburger SV W = 0.79 (league 1.59)

Hamburger SV W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1