Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.83) 1.43 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 26.0% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 7.2% 10.3% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack36%29%
Defense21%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%29%29%57%43%50%
Draws43%0%21%0%14%7%
Loses29%71%50%43%43%43%

Form: Union Berlin W: DLWWLLWLLLDLDW • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Union Berlin W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total12719111021
GF avg1.71.01.41.61.41.5
GA total11172815924
GA avg1.62.42.02.11.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%71%86%
1.543%57%50%57%
2.57%43%21%14%
3.57%14%7%7%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-22-4
Biggest losses1-44-01-52-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against4452

Model comparison

MetricUnion Berlin WBayer Leverkusen W
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total50.4%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin W = 1.20 (league 1.83), Bayer Leverkusen W = 1.43 (league 1.56)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 7.2% 10.3% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 41.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1