Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:00 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.04 (league 1.81) 1.25 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 14.2% 12.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%67%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W Union Berlin W
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins67%25%47%22%38%29%
Draws11%13%12%33%0%18%
Loses22%63%41%44%63%53%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWL • Union Berlin W: DLWWLLWLLLDLDWLWL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W Union Berlin W
HATHAT
GF total211031141125
GF avg2.31.31.81.61.41.5
GA total131427151934
GA avg1.41.81.61.72.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%76%88%
1.553%47%41%65%
2.529%29%12%35%
3.56%18%12%12%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426202
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-35-02-4
Biggest losses1-44-01-44-0
Goals For6354
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg WUnion Berlin W
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total56.3%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : SC Freiburg W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 3.04 (league 1.81), Union Berlin W = 1.25 (league 1.56)

Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1