Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:00 •
Dreisamstadion
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.75)
1.23 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Berlin W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freiburg W | 0 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 47% | 22% | 38% | 29% |
| Draws | 11% | 13% | 12% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 22% | 63% | 41% | 44% | 63% | 53% |
SC Freiburg WDWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWL
Union Berlin WDLWWLLWLLLDLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 10 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 65% | 76% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | 41% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 12% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freiburg W | Union Berlin W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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