Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.83) 1.16 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 28.4% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 10.1% 11.6% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig WNürnberg
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack50%21%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%33%29%22%25%24%
Draws13%11%12%11%38%24%
Loses63%56%59%67%38%53%

Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDW • Nürnberg: DLLDDWWLLWLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total9162512820
GF avg1.11.81.51.31.01.2
GA total142135281543
GA avg1.82.32.13.11.92.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%65%100%
1.553%59%24%65%
2.518%41%18%41%
3.56%12%6%24%
4.50%6%6%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score325336

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig WNürnberg
Wins22
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-45-32-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-64-0
Goals For2453
Goals Against3564

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig WNürnberg
Form80%20%
Att70%30%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away4.97 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.51 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.14 (league 1.83), Nürnberg = 1.16 (league 1.56)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 10.1% 11.6% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1