Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 17:30 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.81) 0.90 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 16.8% 12.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg WNürnberg
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack27%47%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins60%22%42%30%22%26%
Draws20%11%16%10%33%21%
Loses20%67%42%60%44%53%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWLDL • Nürnberg: DLLDDWWLLWLWLLDLLLW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total22103217926
GF avg2.21.11.71.71.01.4
GA total141731291847
GA avg1.41.91.62.92.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%68%100%
1.547%47%26%63%
2.526%32%21%42%
3.55%16%11%21%
4.55%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets426000
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg WNürnberg
Wins22
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-35-12-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-64-0
Goals For6353
Goals Against4464

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg WNürnberg
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nürnberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.01 @ Pinnacle
Away6.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 2.44 (league 1.81), Nürnberg = 0.90 (league 1.55)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 12.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1