Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.81) 0.61 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 24.7% 14.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
14.0%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
SGS Essen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 11.0% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack45%30%
Defense75%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W SGS Essen W
HATHAT
Played991891019
Wins44%67%56%11%10%11%
Draws22%0%11%22%40%32%
Loses33%33%33%67%50%58%

Form: 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWLDWLWLWLLWWWDWLW • SGS Essen W: LDLLLLLLLDWWDLLLDDD

League goals

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W SGS Essen W
HATHAT
GF total15183310616
GF avg1.72.01.81.10.60.8
GA total14923241741
GA avg1.61.01.32.71.72.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%63%74%
1.544%33%21%58%
2.539%11%0%32%
3.517%11%0%26%
4.56%6%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score314347

Penalties

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
Wins32
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses1-52-10-85-0
Goals For5421
Goals Against5285

Model comparison

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WSGS Essen W
Form77%23%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals45%55%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : 1899 Hoffenheim W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.50 @ Unibet
Away9.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): 1899 Hoffenheim W = 1.60 (league 1.81), SGS Essen W = 0.61 (league 1.57)

SGS Essen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 11.0% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 14.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1