Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.82) 1.43 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 24.3% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 5.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack48%43%
Defense57%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig W Union Berlin W
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%30%32%30%33%32%
Draws11%20%16%30%11%21%
Loses56%50%53%40%56%47%

Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDWWD • Union Berlin W: DLWWLLWLLLDLDWLWLDW

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig W Union Berlin W
HATHAT
GF total121830161228
GF avg1.31.81.61.61.31.5
GA total152338162036
GA avg1.72.32.01.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%89%79%89%
1.558%58%42%58%
2.521%37%11%32%
3.55%11%11%11%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-45-02-4
Biggest losses0-35-01-44-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig WUnion Berlin W
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union Berlin W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.57 (league 1.82), Union Berlin W = 1.43 (league 1.55)

Union Berlin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 5.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 34.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1