Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Red Bull Arena
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.81)
1.19 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.1% | 25.8% | 30.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Freiburg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 33% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 30% | 30% | 64% | 22% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 15% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 18% | 67% | 40% |
Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDWWDD • SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 17 | 23 | 40 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 90% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 5% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | SC Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.47 (league 1.81), SC Freiburg W = 1.19 (league 1.57)
| SC Freiburg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 30.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1