Mon, Mar 30 2026 • 16:00 •
Volksparkstadion
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.82)
2.10 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 19.3% | 65.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.3%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayer Leverkusen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 5.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 33% |
| Defense | 25% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 10% | 18% | 14% | 64% | 40% | 52% |
| Draws | 30% | 27% | 29% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Loses | 60% | 55% | 57% | 36% | 50% | 43% |
Form: Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLLLDLLLWLLWDDL • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLLWLLWWLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 25 | 25 | 50 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 86% | 71% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 62% | 48% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 43% | 19% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 29% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV W = 0.79 (league 1.82), Bayer Leverkusen W = 2.10 (league 1.55)
| Bayer Leverkusen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 5.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 65.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1