Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:30 •
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.74)
1.94 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1% | 20.5% | 34.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hamburger SV W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nürnberg | 0 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 18% | 23% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| Draws | 9% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Loses | 64% | 55% | 59% | 64% | 55% | 59% |
NürnbergDLLDDWWLLWLWLLDLLLWLLL
Hamburger SV WDDLWLLDLLLDLLLWLLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 31 | 22 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 100% | 77% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 68% | 18% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 36% | 9% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 5% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nürnberg | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Unibet
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League standings
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