Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 •
Ceres Park Vejlby
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.19)
0.52 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 35.5% | 19.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Midtjylland W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AGF | 0 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 15% | 23% |
| Defense | 54% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 67% | 83% |
Form: AGF: DDLWLD • Midtjylland W: LLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AGF | Midtjylland W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AGF | Midtjylland W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AGF or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AGF = 0.97 (league 1.19), Midtjylland W = 0.52 (league 1.34)
| Midtjylland W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AGF | 0 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 19.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1