Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:00 •
Right to Dream Park
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.39)
0.87 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 39.2% | 45.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
0 - 1
25.2%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Køge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nordsjælland | 0 | 29.2% | 25.2% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 58% | 67% |
| Defense | 92% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Nordsjælland: WDWLDW • Køge: WWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nordsjælland | Køge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 33% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nordsjælland | Køge |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nordsjælland or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nordsjælland = 0.37 (league 1.39), Køge = 0.87 (league 1.38)
| Køge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nordsjælland | 0 | 29.2% | 25.2% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 39.2% · Away win 45.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1