Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:00 • Right to Dream Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.19) 0.88 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 38.1% 44.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.9%
0 - 1
23.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Køge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nordsjælland 0 26.9% 23.8% 10.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNordsjællandKøge
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack58%67%
Defense92%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nordsjælland Køge
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%67%100%83%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%17%33%0%17%

Form: Nordsjælland: WDWLDW • Køge: WWWWWL

League goals

Metric Nordsjælland Køge
HATHAT
GF total57126511
GF avg1.72.32.02.01.71.8
GA total202415
GA avg0.70.00.31.30.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNordsjællandKøge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%33%83%67%
1.550%0%67%17%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNordsjællandKøge
HATHAT
Clean sheets134022
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricNordsjællandKøge
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNordsjællandKøge
Wins15
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-53-10-2
Biggest losses0-10-1
Goals For5532
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricNordsjællandKøge
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nordsjælland or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nordsjælland = 0.43 (league 1.19), Køge = 0.88 (league 1.34)

Køge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nordsjælland 0 26.9% 23.8% 10.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 44.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1