Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 10:00 •
Capelli Sport Stadion
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.39)
0.47 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1% | 20.1% | 8.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| AGF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Køge | 0 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Køge | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 28% |
| Defense | 67% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Køge | AGF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 86% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
Form: Køge: WWWWWLW • AGF: DDLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Køge | AGF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Køge | AGF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | 14% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Køge | AGF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Køge | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Køge | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Køge | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Køge or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Køge = 1.87 (league 1.39), AGF = 0.47 (league 1.38)
| AGF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Køge | 0 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 8.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1