Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:00 •
Capelli Sport Stadion
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.39)
1.48 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | 23.8% | 34.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nordsjælland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Køge | 0 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 89% | 44% |
| Defense | 78% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 83% | 83% | 83% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 8% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 8% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
Form: Køge: WWWWWLWWWWWD • Nordsjælland: WDWLDWLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Køge | Nordsjælland | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 67% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 58% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Køge | Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Køge or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Køge = 1.61 (league 1.39), Nordsjælland = 1.48 (league 1.38)
| Nordsjælland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Køge | 0 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 34.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1