Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Focus Community Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.45) 1.14 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 17.4% 15.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Farnborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack26%58%
Defense84%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Farnborough
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%25%25%
Draws50%50%50%25%25%25%
Loses0%25%13%50%50%50%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDD • Farnborough: DLWLLDWL

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Farnborough
HATHAT
GF total54941115
GF avg1.31.01.11.02.81.9
GA total24661117
GA avg0.51.00.81.52.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%88%
1.538%25%38%75%
2.50%0%25%50%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-02-5
Biggest losses2-11-33-1
Goals For2215
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownFarnborough
Form67%33%
Att31%69%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hemel Hempstead Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 2.51 (league 1.45), Farnborough = 1.14 (league 1.23)

Farnborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1