Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • York Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.46) 2.75 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 17.9% 44.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maidenhead 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaidenheadWorthing
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maidenhead Worthing
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%20%50%33%
Draws25%20%22%60%0%33%
Loses25%20%22%20%50%33%

Form: Maidenhead: LDDLWWWWW • Worthing: DWLDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Maidenhead Worthing
HATHAT
GF total77146915
GF avg1.81.41.61.22.31.7
GA total6285712
GA avg1.50.40.91.01.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaidenheadWorthing
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%56%78%
1.556%22%44%33%
2.511%0%33%22%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaidenheadWorthing
HATHAT
Clean sheets033202
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricMaidenheadWorthing
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMaidenheadWorthing
Wins02
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-42-02-5
Biggest losses1-21-00-11-0
Goals For2435
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricMaidenheadWorthing
Form68%32%
Att52%48%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Maidenhead or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away3.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maidenhead = 2.21 (league 1.46), Worthing = 2.75 (league 1.26)

Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maidenhead 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1