Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:45 • Focus Community Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.51) 0.55 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 24.7% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 11.9% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack60%20%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins67%44%56%60%56%58%
Draws33%22%28%40%22%32%
Loses0%33%17%0%22%11%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLDWW • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
GF total131124181533
GF avg1.41.21.31.81.71.7
GA total4121691524
GA avg0.41.30.90.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%56%84%74%
1.539%22%47%32%
2.511%6%32%11%
3.50%6%5%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Clean sheets538325
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
Wins34
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-5
Biggest losses—4-0—5-0
Goals For3335
Goals Against1425

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownAFC Hornchurch
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hemel Hempstead Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 1.58 (league 1.51), AFC Hornchurch = 0.55 (league 1.23)

AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 11.9% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2