Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 •
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.47)
0.95 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | 23.6% | 20.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Totton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 80% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 79% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 57% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 64% |
| Draws | 43% | 0% | 21% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 14% | 43% | 29% | 13% | 50% | 29% |
Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWW • AFC Totton: WWLLWWDLWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Worthing | AFC Totton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 86% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 21% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 14% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Worthing | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.74 (league 1.47), AFC Totton = 0.95 (league 1.23)
| AFC Totton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.0% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 20.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1