Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51) 0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 20.8% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Totton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingAFC Totton
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%46%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing AFC Totton
HATHAT
Played87159615
Wins50%57%53%67%50%60%
Draws38%0%20%11%0%7%
Loses13%43%27%22%50%33%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWW • AFC Totton: WWLLWWDLWWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Worthing AFC Totton
HATHAT
GF total16132915823
GF avg2.01.91.91.71.31.5
GA total610169918
GA avg0.81.41.11.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingAFC Totton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%80%80%
1.560%20%53%33%
2.540%13%20%7%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingAFC Totton
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricWorthingAFC Totton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricWorthingAFC Totton
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-53-00-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-23-1
Goals For4533
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricWorthingAFC Totton
Form63%38%
Att70%30%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.5%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Superbet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.99 (league 1.51), AFC Totton = 0.84 (league 1.23)

AFC Totton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1