Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Melbourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.48) 2.33 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 19.8% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 1.7% 4.0% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelmsford CityWorthing
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelmsford City Worthing
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%20%40%30%
Draws20%40%30%60%0%30%
Loses20%40%30%20%60%40%

Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWD • Worthing: DWLDLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Chelmsford City Worthing
HATHAT
GF total82106915
GF avg1.60.41.01.21.81.5
GA total83115813
GA avg1.60.61.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelmsford CityWorthing
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%50%80%
1.530%20%40%30%
2.50%10%30%20%
3.50%10%20%0%
4.50%10%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelmsford CityWorthing
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score033235

Penalties

MetricChelmsford CityWorthing
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChelmsford CityWorthing
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-02-5
Biggest losses2-52-10-11-0
Goals For2135
Goals Against5233

Model comparison

MetricChelmsford CityWorthing
Form50%50%
Att41%59%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Worthing

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.73 (league 1.48), Worthing = 2.33 (league 1.24)

Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 1.7% 4.0% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1