Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:45 • Melbourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.51) 2.39 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 17.8% 64.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.7% 4.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack67%75%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelmsford City AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Played78159716
Wins57%38%47%67%71%69%
Draws14%25%20%33%29%31%
Loses29%38%33%0%0%0%

Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWW • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Chelmsford City AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
GF total10818171532
GF avg1.41.01.21.92.12.0
GA total107178816
GA avg1.40.91.10.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%94%69%
1.527%33%56%25%
2.57%7%38%6%
3.57%7%6%0%
4.50%7%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Clean sheets246325
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
Wins14
Draws12
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-43-02-5
Biggest losses2-52-1——
Goals For2435
Goals Against5223

Model comparison

MetricChelmsford CityAFC Hornchurch
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chelmsford City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.02 (league 1.51), AFC Hornchurch = 2.39 (league 1.23)

AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.7% 4.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 64.2%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1