Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.46)
1.03 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 31.4% | 37.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 14.4% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Worthing | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Worthing | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 20% | 50% | 36% | 17% | 43% | 31% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 29% | 38% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLW • Dover: LWWWLLDWDDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Worthing | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Worthing | Dover | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 82% | 92% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 27% | 54% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 18% | 8% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Worthing | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Worthing | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Worthing | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Worthing | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 0.90 (league 1.46), Dover = 1.03 (league 1.26)
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 14.4% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 37.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1