Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.47) 1.05 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 31.2% 38.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dover
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 14.2% 15.0% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingDover
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack60%33%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Dover
HATHAT
Played57127714
Wins20%57%42%14%43%29%
Draws60%0%25%57%29%43%
Loses20%43%33%29%29%29%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWW • Dover: LWWWLLDWDDLDDD

League goals

Metric Worthing Dover
HATHAT
GF total6131913922
GF avg1.21.91.61.91.31.6
GA total5101513821
GA avg1.01.41.31.91.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingDover
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%93%79%
1.550%25%57%50%
2.525%17%7%21%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingDover
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricWorthingDover
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricWorthingDover
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-52-01-2
Biggest losses0-11-02-33-2
Goals For3532
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricWorthingDover
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h91%9%
Goals71%29%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Superbet
Draw4.65 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 0.90 (league 1.47), Dover = 1.05 (league 1.23)

Dover
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 14.2% 15.0% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1