Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.51) 0.79 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 31.1% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack53%42%
Defense79%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%57%50%71%43%57%
Draws43%0%21%29%29%29%
Loses14%43%29%0%29%14%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWW • Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Worthing Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
GF total12132510818
GF avg1.71.91.81.41.11.3
GA total61016279
GA avg0.91.41.10.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%86%43%
1.557%21%36%21%
2.536%14%7%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets303538
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-11-0—2-1
Goals For3532
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricWorthingHemel Hempstead Town
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.12 (league 1.51), Hemel Hempstead Town = 0.79 (league 1.25)

Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1