Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Focus Community Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.51) 0.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 35.6% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.5%
0 - 0
26.9%
2 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 26.9% 7.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack39%44%
Defense67%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Chelmsford City
HATHAT
Played88168917
Wins63%38%50%63%33%47%
Draws38%25%31%13%22%18%
Loses0%38%19%25%44%35%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLD • Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Chelmsford City
HATHAT
GF total1181912820
GF avg1.41.01.21.50.91.2
GA total31114101020
GA avg0.41.40.91.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%50%76%59%
1.531%25%29%35%
2.56%6%6%12%
3.50%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets538347
Failed to score123044

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
Wins34
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-02-4
Biggest losses—4-02-53-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against1453

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChelmsford City
Form45%55%
Att47%53%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h62%38%
Goals46%54%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hemel Hempstead Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 1.02 (league 1.51), Chelmsford City = 0.29 (league 1.23)

Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 26.9% 7.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1