Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
Hornchurch Stadium
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.46)
1.15 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.1% | 19.7% | 18.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 91% |
| Defense | 45% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 60% | 78% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
Form: AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDW • Dover: LWWWLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Hornchurch | Dover | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 78% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 11% | 11% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Hornchurch or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 2.22 (league 1.46), Dover = 1.15 (league 1.26)
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 18.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1