Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Melbourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.52) 1.35 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 25.6% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Torquay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 6.5% 8.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelmsford CityTorquay
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack36%73%
Defense68%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelmsford City Torquay
HATHAT
Played8101810919
Wins63%30%44%80%33%58%
Draws13%20%17%10%22%16%
Loses25%50%39%10%44%26%

Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLL • Torquay: WDWLWLDWWWDLWLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Chelmsford City Torquay
HATHAT
GF total12921281240
GF avg1.50.91.22.81.32.1
GA total101222101323
GA avg1.31.21.21.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelmsford CityTorquay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%89%74%
1.528%39%53%42%
2.56%11%42%5%
3.56%6%11%0%
4.50%6%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelmsford CityTorquay
HATHAT
Clean sheets347415
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricChelmsford CityTorquay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricChelmsford CityTorquay
Wins43
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-47-01-3
Biggest losses2-53-01-23-1
Goals For2473
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricChelmsford CityTorquay
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chelmsford City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.38 (league 1.52), Torquay = 1.35 (league 1.25)

Torquay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 6.5% 8.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1