Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.51) 1.08 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 22.3% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingAFC Hornchurch
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack68%23%
Defense82%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins56%56%56%60%63%61%
Draws33%0%17%40%25%33%
Loses11%44%28%0%13%6%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWL • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Worthing AFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
GF total201737181533
GF avg2.21.92.11.81.91.8
GA total6142091019
GA avg0.71.61.10.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingAFC Hornchurch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%89%72%
1.567%22%50%28%
2.539%17%33%6%
3.522%0%6%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingAFC Hornchurch
HATHAT
Clean sheets505325
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricWorthingAFC Hornchurch
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWorthingAFC Hornchurch
Wins74
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-53-02-5
Biggest losses0-13-2—2-0
Goals For4535
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricWorthingAFC Hornchurch
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.89 (league 1.51), AFC Hornchurch = 1.08 (league 1.23)

AFC Hornchurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1