Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.63 (league 1.52) 0.67 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 7.3% 3.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.8%
4 - 0
9.8%
2 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Farnborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingFarnborough
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%69%
Defense62%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Farnborough
HATHAT
Played101020121022
Wins60%60%60%42%10%27%
Draws30%0%15%25%30%27%
Loses10%40%25%33%60%45%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWW • Farnborough: DLWLLDWLLDLLWDLWLLDDWW

League goals

Metric Worthing Farnborough
HATHAT
GF total251944161430
GF avg2.51.92.21.31.41.4
GA total61521162238
GA avg0.61.51.11.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingFarnborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%70%77%77%
1.570%20%32%59%
2.540%15%14%27%
3.525%0%9%5%
4.510%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingFarnborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets606415
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricWorthingFarnborough
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWorthingFarnborough
Wins71
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-54-22-5
Biggest losses0-13-21-35-1
Goals For5545
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricWorthingFarnborough
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h20%80%
Goals46%54%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Worthing and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ Betfair
Away6.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 3.63 (league 1.52), Farnborough = 0.67 (league 1.25)

Farnborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 3.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1