Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 • The Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.52) 0.90 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 30.5% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesham United 0 13.4% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack38%31%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesham United Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Played111122111021
Wins45%27%36%55%40%48%
Draws18%36%27%36%20%29%
Loses36%36%36%9%40%24%

Form: Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWWDLLLWLW • Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Chesham United Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
GF total141125131124
GF avg1.31.01.11.21.11.1
GA total11132481321
GA avg1.01.21.10.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%77%71%57%
1.532%27%33%24%
2.59%5%10%10%
3.55%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325639
Failed to score437336

Penalties

MetricChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-44-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricChesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
Form46%54%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hemel Hempstead Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesham United = 1.11 (league 1.52), Hemel Hempstead Town = 0.90 (league 1.22)

Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesham United 0 13.4% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 15 , vtd1