Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Twerton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.53) 1.07 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 31.8% 41.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ebbsfleet United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bath City 0 15.6% 16.7% 9.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBath CityEbbsfleet United
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack45%100%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bath City Ebbsfleet United
HATHAT
Played131427171431
Wins31%21%26%59%36%48%
Draws31%29%30%29%21%26%
Loses38%50%44%12%43%26%

Form: Bath City: DLWWDLLDLDLWLLWDDWLDLWLDLWL • Ebbsfleet United: WWWLDLDDLDWLWWWLWLDLWWWWWLWDDDW

League goals

Metric Bath City Ebbsfleet United
HATHAT
GF total131528281644
GF avg1.01.11.01.61.11.4
GA total152035141731
GA avg1.21.41.30.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBath CityEbbsfleet United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%84%61%
1.533%41%42%29%
2.57%11%10%10%
3.50%4%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBath CityEbbsfleet United
HATHAT
Clean sheets5278412
Failed to score5510055

Penalties

MetricBath CityEbbsfleet United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBath CityEbbsfleet United
Wins25
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-42-01-23-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricBath CityEbbsfleet United
Form31%69%
Att29%71%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total28.7%71.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bath City = 0.78 (league 1.53), Ebbsfleet United = 1.07 (league 1.23)

Ebbsfleet United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bath City 0 15.6% 16.7% 9.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 41.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1