Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.52) 0.79 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 21.7% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 6.9% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 10.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingChesham United
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack75%67%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Chesham United
HATHAT
Played171734161733
Wins59%41%50%50%41%45%
Draws35%6%21%19%29%24%
Loses6%53%29%31%29%30%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDDLWWL • Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWWDLLLWLWWLWWDWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Worthing Chesham United
HATHAT
GF total443074212041
GF avg2.61.82.21.31.21.2
GA total142842141933
GA avg0.81.61.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingChesham United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%76%73%73%
1.565%26%30%21%
2.541%15%12%6%
3.524%3%9%0%
4.59%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingChesham United
HATHAT
Clean sheets718549
Failed to score257549

Penalties

MetricWorthingChesham United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricWorthingChesham United
Wins74
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-54-11-4
Biggest losses0-15-41-23-0
Goals For5544
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricWorthingChesham United
Form41%59%
Att53%47%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Pinnacle
Away5.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.88 (league 1.52), Chesham United = 0.79 (league 1.22)

Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 6.9% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 10.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1