Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Focus Community Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.52) 1.56 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 25.0% 44.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 6.2% 9.6% 7.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.6% 11.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack36%45%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Worthing
HATHAT
Played161430151530
Wins50%43%47%53%47%50%
Draws25%21%23%40%7%23%
Loses25%36%30%7%47%27%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLDWWLLDLWWWLWLDL • Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDD

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Worthing
HATHAT
GF total181634372966
GF avg1.11.11.12.51.92.2
GA total161733122537
GA avg1.01.21.10.81.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%80%73%
1.533%30%67%27%
2.510%13%40%17%
3.50%7%23%3%
4.50%0%10%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412718
Failed to score549246

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
Wins37
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-02-5
Biggest losses0-44-00-15-4
Goals For3355
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownWorthing
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Worthing

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.49 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 1.23 (league 1.52), Worthing = 1.56 (league 1.22)

Worthing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 6.2% 9.6% 7.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.6% 11.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1