Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Hornchurch Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.52) 1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 25.9% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tonbridge Angels
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 7.2% 8.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack73%73%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Hornchurch Tonbridge Angels
HATHAT
Played141428161531
Wins50%57%54%13%40%26%
Draws36%21%29%44%27%35%
Loses14%21%18%44%33%39%

Form: AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLD • Tonbridge Angels: DLDDLDLWWWLDDWLLDLWLWDLLDDWWLDL

League goals

Metric AFC Hornchurch Tonbridge Angels
HATHAT
GF total242650222042
GF avg1.71.91.81.41.31.4
GA total152237272047
GA avg1.11.61.31.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%75%71%84%
1.554%43%42%39%
2.529%7%19%19%
3.57%4%3%10%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score134549

Penalties

MetricAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
Wins43
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-10-3
Biggest losses1-25-02-44-1
Goals For3543
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricAFC HornchurchTonbridge Angels
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h91%9%
Goals71%29%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Hornchurch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away4.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 1.45 (league 1.52), Tonbridge Angels = 1.17 (league 1.22)

Tonbridge Angels
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 7.2% 8.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 30.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1