Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:45 • Melbourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.53) 1.16 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 29.2% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack44%25%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelmsford City Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Played151530171532
Wins47%47%47%53%40%47%
Draws20%13%17%24%20%22%
Loses33%40%37%24%40%31%

Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWLWWWLWDD • Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLDWWLLDLWWWLWLDLWL

League goals

Metric Chelmsford City Hemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
GF total182139191635
GF avg1.21.41.31.11.11.1
GA total202141161935
GA avg1.31.41.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%67%69%59%
1.533%40%31%31%
2.513%13%9%13%
3.57%10%0%6%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets55109413
Failed to score2575510

Penalties

MetricChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
Wins43
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-01-3
Biggest losses2-55-00-44-0
Goals For2433
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricChelmsford CityHemel Hempstead Town
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h38%62%
Goals54%46%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chelmsford City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.02 (league 1.53), Hemel Hempstead Town = 1.16 (league 1.23)

Hemel Hempstead Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelmsford City 0 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1