Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.52) 0.92 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.5% 17.3% 12.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Torquay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingTorquay
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack40%53%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Torquay
HATHAT
Played161632151732
Wins56%44%50%67%41%53%
Draws38%6%22%20%18%19%
Loses6%50%28%13%41%28%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDDLW • Torquay: WDWLWLDWWWDLWLLWWWWWLLWDWDWWWLDL

League goals

Metric Worthing Torquay
HATHAT
GF total412970382361
GF avg2.61.82.22.51.41.9
GA total132639162339
GA avg0.81.61.21.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingTorquay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%75%84%78%
1.566%25%53%34%
2.541%16%34%6%
3.525%3%9%3%
4.59%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingTorquay
HATHAT
Clean sheets718437
Failed to score257145

Penalties

MetricWorthingTorquay
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricWorthingTorquay
Wins75
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-57-01-3
Biggest losses0-15-41-24-2
Goals For5573
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricWorthingTorquay
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 2.39 (league 1.52), Torquay = 0.92 (league 1.22)

Torquay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 12.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1